Wednesday, April 20, 2005

Accountability

I want to start an accountability section on this blog. This would allow me to keep track of statements I've made predicting the future.

Examples:
"That movie, Hitch, is going to end Will Smith's career"
"This could be the year it all comes apart for the Yankees"
"Marv Albert will work for the YES Network"
"I'm going to start an accountability section for my blog"

On a similar note, I've been wanting to do an experiment where I map the data from weather predictions. My hypothesis is that the forecast for more than one day in advance is more often wrong than right. In particular this relates to predicting instances of precipitation, and that the 2-3 day forecast probably only correctly predicts < 50% of instances of precipitation.

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